December
16, 2004 -- So very much hangs in the balance when Ukraine goes back to the
polls to vote for a president on Dec. 26. It would be a major blow for freedom,
and a wonderful Christmas present to the world, if Viktor Yushchenko - and the
runoff, before the government stole both - becomes president of this key nation.
It has been my honor to serve as a consultant to
Yushchenko during this campaign. His battle is not only an important one for
freedom throughout the world, it also represents a key stand against the
rekindling of an imperial Russia — the major foreign policy goal of that
country's President Vladimir Putin.
In both previous elections, Yushchenko actually got
upward of 60 percent of the vote, only to have the government falsify the
results. Fortunately, he adopted a technique I had found useful when fighting
against the PRI, the party that controlled Mexico's government for decades:
using exit polls to establish the real winner, and so expose the government's
count of the votes as rigged.
Working with a combination of old KGB operatives,
hardline and unreconstructed Communists, oil barons and Russian mafia, Putin is
trying to take over the states that comprised the former Soviet Union and to
assimilate them into a new Russian sphere of influence.
His strategy is to use the ethnic Russian minorities in
these former Soviet "republics" as an electoral base for taking power. But,
because they are minorities, he must add healthy doses of vote-rigging,
intimidation, control of the media and attempted murder to the mix to have a
shot at achieving control.
In Ukraine, the first step was to deny Yushchenko any
coverage on state-controlled television and other news outlets. Only smear
stories ran — and we weren't allowed to buy advertising time to rebut them.
It was so impossible to communicate with the voters that
the campaign was reduced to printing leaflets which were stuffed, three times
each week, under every door in the country.
When it became clear that the Ukrainian people would not
be fooled by the phony state-controlled media and Yushchenko continued to lead
by 15 points in the polls, the ex-KGB types in the opposition campaign resorted
to attempted assassination, once running Yushchenko's car off the road and then
poisoning him with dioxin.
At first, we thought Yushchenko had a stroke. The entire
right side of his face and body was paralyzed. A Ukrainian hospital diagnosed it
as a stroke. Then Yushchenko went to Vienna, where they unearthed the poisoning.
By then, the candidate had regained use of his face and limbs, but a horrible
rash distorted and discolored his entire face.
The campaign faced a tough decision as to whether or not
to show the candidate, once handsome and charismatic, on TV. Risking it, they
did — and that face soon became a symbol of the lengths to which the old
communists would go to stop Yushchenko and a badge of honor that underscored why
it was crucial to elect him.
To do the massive leafleting, to communicate over the
head of the controlled media, the campaign needed to recruit hundreds of
thousands of volunteers from around the nation — the very same men and women who
later took to the streets after the phony vote count was announced and refused
to leave until a new election was scheduled.
In Russia itself, Putin has taken the first step to end
democracy by using his majority in the Duma to eliminate locally elected
congressmen and to change the constitution to elect the entire body elected by
proportional representation from party lists. Because Putin can control the
nominations and the order of their selection on party lists, he will have a
rubber stamp Duma.
But it is abroad, in the former Soviet republics, that
Putin is doing his worst work. The first effort was in Georgia, where an alert
populace revolted and insisted on an honest vote count. Now, in Ukraine, he is
trying to impose his will on the electorate.
The stakes for global liberty couldn't be higher. In
Russia's bid to come back as an imperial power, the Ukraine struggle is the
equivalent of Hitler's bid to remilitarize the Rhineland. A determined stand
here will keep Russia (145 million) and Ukraine (50 million) separate and
cripple Putin's imperial ambitions. With Ukraine inevitably drawing closer to
the EU and further away from Moscow, its chances for prosperity and freedom will
increase.
But all depends on forcing the country's powers-that-be to count the
votes accurately.