By DICK MORRIS
April 19, 2006 -- The most recent poll by USA Today
clearly marks the end of the era of international focus and energy triggered by
the terrorist attacks of Sept. 11. Now, forgetting the lessons of that day,
Americans are again turning inward and rejecting involvement with the rest of
the world.
To most politicians, pundits and journalists inside
the Beltway, American voters can move to the left or the right on foreign-policy
questions. But the voters themselves perceive a third option: to step
backward.
Isolationism, a largely ignored theme in our
politics, is growing rapidly in the wake of the sacrifices we are making in
Iraq. It is this feeling of wanting the rest of the world to go away, not any
leftward drift, that is animating the drop in President Bush’s approval ratings
as the war drags on.
On April 7-9, USA Today asked a national sample of
voters if the United States “should mind its own business internationally and
let other countries get along as best they can on their own.” Almost half of all
Americans, 46 percent, agreed with the statement, while 51 percent differed.
These results are almost the same as the pre-Sept. 11 polling of January 2000,
when Americans broke 46-50 on the same question.
In the interim, of course, came Sept. 11, when the
nation found out why foreign affairs were vital to domestic peace. In the
aftermath of the attack, only one-third of Americans thought we should “mind our
own business.”
Interest in foreign affairs fluctuates in the
American psyche. After the Korean War, we turned inward but were awakened by
JFK’s challenge to assume the responsibilities of freedom. Vietnam drained us,
and we entered a period of isolationism that did not end until Ronald Reagan
shook us out of it in the 1980s. With the collapse of communism, we stopped
paying much attention to events beyond our shores until Sept. 11 brought home
the reality that there was no longer a real division between domestic and
foreign issues.
But now the bloodshed in Iraq and the peace from
terrorism at home have brought us back to something more like our self-involved
introversion — what President Warren G. Harding called “normalcy.”
This withdrawal from globalism is a predictable
consequence of the quagmire of Iraq. Bush has spent the constructive energies
unleashed by Sept. 11 on his bid to make Iraq a stable democracy. Whether he has
squandered our national vigor or simply invested it wisely will only become
apparent in the next few years, but what is glaringly obvious is that our
patience is over.
Republicans criticize Democrats for not proposing
new solutions to the Iraq war, but the GOP misses the point that their opponents
don’t have to do so. The wind of isolationism is at the Democrats’ back,
propelling them onward to the likelihood of massive victories in 2006 and 2008.
The metaphor with Jacques Chirac’s France is
interesting. Opponents of the Chirac-Villepin regime, like Interior Minister
Nicolas Sarkozy, all surely realize that freeing the labor market of ridiculous
constraints on firing workers is a vital necessity for France to compete in the
world economy, but there is no reason for Sarkozy to say so. He can just ride
the disillusionment Chirac and Dominique de Villepin have left in their wake
with their failed efforts at reform.
The Democrats don’t have to recommend any
alternative to Bush’s policy. All they need to do is attack it. The wind of
isolationism will do the rest for them.
Isolationism is so discredited with insider opinion
that nobody dares articulate its rationale in public. Like racism, it has been
dismissed as a legitimate opinion by the elites, but not yet by the voters
themselves. Defeated in the Democratic Party by Pearl Harbor and in the GOP by
the Eisenhower 1952 defeat of Sen. Bob Taft, it retains its grip on about half
of our country’s voters.
After Korea, isolationism helped the Republicans.
After LBJ, it helped the GOP. After Nixon, it helped drive the Carter victory.
In the 1990s, it permitted an exclusively domestic politics that allowed
foreign-affairs novice Bill Clinton to get elected. Now it is undoing the
Republican majority.
Woe to the politician, like Bush, who arouses the
genie, and woe to his party that tries to win in its
wake.