T here are better times ahead for John McCain, but long term disaster is in the cards. On March 7th, so-called Super Tuesday, a roster of states that should be strong for the Arizona Senator go to the polls. 81% of the delegates to be selected on that date will be in states where independents can vote in the GOP primary. McCain should prevail in the following winner take all states:

        California (162 delegates)
        Maine (14)
        Mass (37)
        Rhode Island (14)
        Vt (12)

He should also do well in Maryland, likely capturing 2/3 of the 31 delegates awarded that day.

Bush should carry Connecticut, where only Republicans can vote, with its winner take all basket of 25 votes. Likewise in Missouri and its 33 votes.

They will split Ohio and New York, but Bush will win more than McCain in these GOP only primaries.

As a result, McCain will come out of Super Tuesday with almost a 2:1 delegate lead over Bush.

But its downhill from there. On march 14th, Bush will sweep the winner-take- all southern primaries which include:

        Texas (124)
        Fla (80)
        Miss (33)
        Okla (38)

By the time the dust settles on March 14th, Bush will have the lead and will likely go on to win.